Green Credit Effects of Local Debt Management System Reform:Evidence Based on Regression Discontinuity Design
, , et
27 févr. 2025
À propos de cet article
Publié en ligne: 27 févr. 2025
Reçu: 03 oct. 2024
Accepté: 29 janv. 2025
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/amns-2025-0143
Mots clés
© 2025 Yuxin Zhang et al., published by Sciendo
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Figure 1.

Least Squares regression results
Variables | OLS | OLS |
---|---|---|
grl | grl | |
TD | 1.051*** |
0.934*** |
CP | -0.171** |
|
GD | 0.016 |
|
MN | 0.001 |
|
GR | 0.008 |
|
FL | 0.004 |
|
CI | -0.028*** |
|
SZ | 1.627*** |
|
Der | -0.171** |
|
Npl | -0.425*** |
|
Constant | 1.187*** |
-41.277*** |
Observations | 316 | 316 |
R-squared | 0.021 | 0.486 |
Observations | 316 | 316 |
Results of mediator regression
Variable | (1) | (2) |
---|---|---|
DR | CR | |
lwald | 7.084*** |
-0.116*** |
lwald150 | 6.829*** |
-0.110** |
lwald200 | 6.706*** |
-0.108** |
Observations | 314 | 314 |
Control variables | Yes | Yes |
Placebo test results
Variable | The reform 2 years ahead of schedule | The reform 1 year ahead | The reform lags behind 1 year | Reform lags behind 2 years |
---|---|---|---|---|
grl | grl | grl | grl | |
-0.110 | 0.266 | -0.442 | -0.794 | |
(-0.19) | (0.40) | (-0.50) | (-0.47) | |
-0.065 | 0.233 | -0.375 | -0.557 | |
(-0.15) | (0.44) | (-0.48) | (-0.39) | |
-0.034 | 0.248 | -0.207 | -0.516 | |
(-0.07) | (0.47) | (-0.29) | (-0.46) | |
316 | 316 | 316 | 316 | |
Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Definition and description of variables
types of variables | variable | Symbol | definition |
---|---|---|---|
variable explained | Green credit | grl | Green credit of commercial bank |
Explaining variable | The local debt management System reform began | DT | Local governments really implement the reformation |
mediating variables | Bank credit allocation | DR | Average amount of total loans / Average amount of total deposits |
Bank credit risk | CR | Risk-weighted assets / Total loans amount | |
control variables | Revenue growth rate | GR | Revenue increase / Total revenue of last year |
Liquidity ratio | FR | Current assets amount / Current liabilities amount | |
Cost-income ratio | CI | Operating expenses amount / Operating income amount | |
Total assets | SZ | The logarithm of total assets | |
Non-performing loan ratio | Npl | Non-performing loans/gross loans | |
Debt-to-equity ratio | Der | Total liabilities / Owners’ equity | |
Inflation levels | FL | consumer price index | |
Economic development level | GD | Annual growth rate of GDP | |
Amount of broad money | MN | The growth rate of broad money |
RDD regression results
(1) | (2) | |
---|---|---|
grl | grl | |
1.051*** | 0.987** | |
(2.99) | (2.25) | |
1.051*** | 0.970** | |
(2.99) | (2.20) | |
1.051*** | 0.961** | |
(2.99) | (2.18) | |
316 | 316 | |
No | Yes |
Replace the kernel function regression results
Variables | moment function | moment function |
---|---|---|
grl | grl | |
lwald | 1.051*** |
0.934** |
lwald150 | 1.051*** |
0.934** |
lwald200 | 1.051*** |
0.934** |
Control variables | No | Yes |