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Analysis of synergies between vocational education and regional economic development

  
25 sept 2025

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Figure 1.

Vocational education and regional economic development
Vocational education and regional economic development

Figure 2.

Occupational education regional development level
Occupational education regional development level

Figure 3.

Regional economic regional development level
Regional economic regional development level

Figure 4.

The coupling of the subsystem
The coupling of the subsystem

Figure 5.

Coupling coordination of two systems
Coupling coordination of two systems

Figure 6.

The Gini coefficient of coupling coordination
The Gini coefficient of coupling coordination

Education development level of Hunan province

City 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Changsha 0.0451 0.0394 0.0527 0.0324 0.0916 0.0946
Zhuzhou 0.0346 0.0445 0.0283 0.0459 0.0354 0.0452
Xiangtan 0.0402 0.0416 0.0469 0.0431 0.0483 0.0518
Hengyang 0.0387 0.0448 0.0412 0.0451 0.0411 0.0815
Chengzhou 0.0415 0.1084 0.0445 0.0946 0.0431 0.0562
Yongzhou 0.1028 0.1011 0.0927 0.1012 0.1028 0.0597
Shaoyang 0.0937 0.0445 0.0836 0.0438 0.1017 0.2018
Zhangjiajie 0.0413 0.0618 0.0416 0.0601 0.0236 0.1369
Huaihua 0.0628 0.0623 0.0459 0.0583 0.0945 0.0364
Loudi 0.0543 0.0317 0.0613 0.0319 0.0675 0.1251
Xiangxi 0.0283 0.0563 0.0327 0.0462 0.0346 0.0912
Yueyang 0.0276 0.0414 0.0543 0.0405 0.0651 0.0348
Changde 0.0348 0.0357 0.0412 0.0358 0.0328 0.0406
Yiyang 0.0269 0.0346 0.0365 0.0393 0.0308 0.0513
City 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Changsha 0.1121 0.1427 0.1136 0.1145 0.1495 0.1342
Zhuzhou 0.0638 0.0516 0.0594 0.0463 0.0612 0.0683
Xiangtan 0.1527 0.1359 0.1238 0.1258 0.1283 0.1632
Hengyang 0.0465 0.0453 0.0354 0.0427 0.0435 0.0438
Chengzhou 0.0563 0.0672 0.0541 0.0604 0.0763 0.0945
Yongzhou 0.3042 0.3359 0.3721 0.3924 0.3653 0.4231
Shaoyang 0.1839 0.2146 0.2263 0.2335 0.2352 0.3046
Zhangjiajie 0.0756 0.1017 0.0885 0.0948 0.1174 0.1186
Huaihua 0.2324 0.2641 0.2462 0.2126 0.2165 0.3672
Loudi 0.1435 0.1829 0.2063 0.2634 0.2732 0.3164
Xiangxi 0.0469 0.0462 0.0346 0.0351 0.0516 0.0469
Yueyang 0.0512 0.0462 0.0431 0.0384 0.0358 0.0385
Changde 0.0465 0.0551 0.0495 0.0842 0.0842 0.0614
Yiyang 0.0515 0.0576 0.0534 0.0426 0.0316 0.1208

Benchmark regression

Variable Model (1) Model (2) Model (3) Model (4) Model (5)
VEDL 0.315***(2.948) 0.302***(2.853) 0.289***(2.816) 0.264***(2.745) 0.227**(2.531)
Net - 0.245***(2.465) 0.237***(2.347) 0.226***(2.216) 0.208***(2.103)
Cul - - 0.078**(2.465) 0.067**(2.318) 0.062**(2.157)
Med - - - 1.249***(3.368) 1.109***(3.108)
ER - - - - 4.124(1.539)
(Con_) 0.084***(3.146) 0.073***(3.052) 0.072***(3.015) 0.071***(2.963) -0.081**(-2.247)
Individual effect YES YES YES YES YES
Time effect YES YES YES YES YES
R square 0.6845 0.6861 0.6924 0.7059 0.7306

Regional economic development level evaluation system

Primary Index Secondary Index Code
Innovative development GDP growth rate ID1
R&d intensity ID2
Investment efficiency ID3
Technical activity ID4
Coordination development Demand structure CD1
Urban and rural structure CD2
Industrial structure CD3
Government debt CD4
Green development Energy consumption elasticity GD1
Unit output waste water GD2
Unit output waste gas GD3
Openness development Foreign trade dependency OD1
Investment proportion of foreign investment OD2
Market degree OD3
Sharing development Proportion of worker’s remuneration SD1
Income growth elasticity of residents SD2
The urban and rural consumption gap SD3
The proportion of people’s financial spending SD4

Coupling Coordination Level Classification

Dissonance decay Coordinated development
D Type D Type
0.00~0.10 Extreme dissonance decay 0.51~0.60 Reluctance coordinated development
0.11~0.20 Severity dissonance decay 0.61~0.70 Primary coordinated development
0.21~0.30 Medium dissonance decay 0.71~0.80 Medium coordinated development
0.31~0.40 Light dissonance decay 0.81~0.90 Benign coordinated development
0.41~0.50 Verge dissonance decay 0.91~1.00 Quality coordinated development

The benchmark regression results of the partition domain

Variable Model (1) Model (2) Model (3) Model (4)
VEDL 0.186***(3.154) 0.075***(4.572) 0.036(0.312) 0.137(0.854)
Net 0.153***(3.725) 0.081***(3.162) 0.025(0.818) 0.045(0.729)
Cul 0.015**(0.037) 0.074**(1.253) 0.043(1.107) 0.551**(2.427)
Med 0.131***(1.429) 0.025***(1.248) 0.093**(2.317) 0.261**(2.515)
ER 0.169(4.345) 0.038(0.924) 0.005(0.154) 0.023(0.167)
(Con_) 0.424***(7.126) -0.008 (-0.259) 0.031(1.469) -0.057(-0.426)
Individual effect YES YES YES YES
Time effect YES YES YES YES
R square 0.8465 0.8213 0.8024 0.8158

Regional economic development level of Hunan province

City 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Changsha 0.3924 0.4015 0.4432 0.4638 0.4801 0.4923
Zhuzhou 0.1665 0.1821 0.3024 0.1334 0.1912 0.2325
Xiangtan 0.1485 0.1583 0.1549 0.2062 0.1874 0.1964
Hengyang 0.1169 0.1665 0.1942 0.2126 0.2189 0.2237
Chengzhou 0.1234 0.1667 0.1789 0.1994 0.2045 0.2132
Yongzhou 0.1345 0.1388 0.1762 0.1753 0.1806 0.1942
Shaoyang 0.1451 0.1604 0.1789 0.1724 0.1965 0.2013
Zhangjiajie 0.1931 0.1785 0.2011 0.2248 0.2185 0.2232
Huaihua 0.1651 0.2012 0.2073 0.2284 0.2251 0.2407
Loudi 0.1785 0.1951 0.1614 0.2054 0.1891 0.1782
Xiangxi 0.1562 0.1648 0.1606 0.1714 0.1769 0.1851
Yueyang 0.1711 0.1764 0.1826 0.2185 0.1994 0.2095
Changde 0.1624 0.1826 0.1803 0.2014 0.2036 0.2152
Yiyang 0.1704 0.1775 0.1821 0.1954 0.1785 0.1938
City 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Changsha 0.5165 0.5628 0.5732 0.6315 0.6824 0.7735
Zhuzhou 0.2468 0.2569 0.2683 0.3134 0.3162 0.3389
Xiangtan 0.2016 0.2169 0.2243 0.2468 0.2531 0.2659
Hengyang 0.2415 0.2608 0.2536 0.2913 0.2874 0.3365
Chengzhou 0.2435 0.2565 0.2443 0.2672 0.3048 0.3121
Yongzhou 0.2126 0.2238 0.2287 0.2386 0.2751 0.2795
Shaoyang 0.2153 0.2243 0.2089 0.2415 0.2854 0.2769
Zhangjiajie 0.2254 0.2306 0.2234 0.2418 0.2459 0.2342
Huaihua 0.2335 0.2415 0.2342 0.2685 0.2812 0.2836
Loudi 0.1465 0.2489 0.1942 0.2188 0.2375 0.2354
Xiangxi 0.1846 0.1905 0.1959 0.2043 0.2058 0.2169
Yueyang 0.2184 0.2093 0.1945 0.2214 0.2325 0.2682
Changde 0.2413 0.2453 0.2236 0.2683 0.2694 0.2751
Yiyang 0.1952 0.2214 0.1816 0.2124 0.2032 0.2056

Intergroup differences of coupling coordination

Year CZT-XN CZT-XX CZT-DTH XN-XX XN-DTH XX-DTH
2012 0.1681 0.2694 0.1406 0.1679 0.0742 0.1865
2013 0.1745 0.2725 0.1418 0.1715 0.0801 0.1943
2014 0.1738 0.2731 0.1422 0.1665 0.0804 0.1924
2015 0.1651 0.2624 0.1342 0.1689 0.0815 0.1915
2016 0.1616 0.2695 0.1398 0.1782 0.0821 0.1945
2017 0.1638 0.2675 0.1412 0.1721 0.0789 0.1884
2018 0.1642 0.2654 0.1485 0.1745 0.0775 0.1793
2019 0.1694 0.2649 0.1579 0.1673 0.0752 0.1684
2020 0.1685 0.2721 0.1609 0.1741 0.0719 0.1725
2021 0.1682 0.2678 0.1663 0.1724 0.0743 0.1625
2022 0.1645 0.2654 0.1635 0.1712 0.0711 0.1614
2023 0.1581 0.2613 0.1669 0.1693 0.0706 0.1532

Coupling and coordination of two systems

Changzhutan Xiangnan
Year D Relation D Relation
2012 0.2203 Medium dissonance decay 0.2089 Medium dissonance decay
2013 0.2255 Medium dissonance decay 0.2403 Medium dissonance decay
2014 0.2378 Medium dissonance decay 0.2284 Medium dissonance decay
2015 0.2281 Medium dissonance decay 0.2504 Medium dissonance decay
2016 0.2543 Medium dissonance decay 0.2367 Medium dissonance decay
2017 0.2646 Medium dissonance decay 0.2425 Medium dissonance decay
2018 0.3063 Medium dissonance decay 0.2980 Medium dissonance decay
2019 0.3123 Light dissonance decay 0.3100 Light dissonance decay
2020 0.3062 Medium dissonance decay 0.3107 Light dissonance decay
2021 0.3121 Light dissonance decay 0.3236 Light dissonance decay
2022 0.3295 Light dissonance decay 0.3288 Light dissonance decay
2023 0.3440 Light dissonance decay 0.3469 Light dissonance decay
Year Xiangxi Dongtinghu
D Relation D Relation
2012 0.2202 Medium dissonance decay 0.1880 Severity dissonance decay
2013 0.2192 Medium dissonance decay 0.2020 Medium dissonance decay
2014 0.2216 Medium dissonance decay 0.2114 Medium dissonance decay
2015 0.2215 Medium dissonance decay 0.2108 Medium dissonance decay
2016 0.2386 Medium dissonance decay 0.2135 Medium dissonance decay
2017 0.2793 Medium dissonance decay 0.2160 Medium dissonance decay
2018 0.2879 Medium dissonance decay 0.2282 Medium dissonance decay
2019 0.3097 Medium dissonance decay 0.2337 Medium dissonance decay
2020 0.3034 Medium dissonance decay 0.2221 Medium dissonance decay
2021 0.3151 Light dissonance decay 0.2382 Medium dissonance decay
2022 0.3255 Light dissonance decay 0.2334 Medium dissonance decay
2023 0.3463 Light dissonance decay 0.2603 Medium dissonance decay

Professional education development level evaluation index system

Primary Index Secondary Index Code
Education guarantee Funding input JY1
Teacher construction JY2
Teaching condition JY3
Culture quality Promotion level PY1
Employment level PY2
Student comprehensive quality PY3
Education scale PY4
Social achievement Graduate evaluation SH1
Enterprise evaluation SH2
Service area industry capacity SH3

Robustness test results

Variable Model (1) Model (2) Model (3)
VEDL 0.182***(2.467) 0.051***(1.573) 0.124***(2.085)
Net 0.314***(2.672) 0.074***(1.516) 0.085***(1.672)
Cul 0.085**(2.538) 0.079**(2.427) 0.088**(2.469)
Med 1.248***(3.569) 1.159***(3.208) 1.171***(3.423)
ER 3.586 (1.642) 3.271 (1.353) 3.329 (1.427)
(Con_) 0.174***(3.156) 0.169***(3.048) 0.165***(3.012)
Individual effect YES YES YES
Time effect YES YES YES
R square 0.4271 0.6859 0.4063