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Fault prediction and maintenance of urban rail transit power supply system based on big data

 and   
Mar 17, 2025

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Figure 1.

Traction transformer T failure simulation 1
Traction transformer T failure simulation 1

Figure 2.

Traction transformer T failure simulation 2
Traction transformer T failure simulation 2

Figure 3.

Traction transformer T failure simulation 3
Traction transformer T failure simulation 3

Figure 4.

Suction current ratio method diagram
Suction current ratio method diagram

Figure 5.

Reactance ranging method diagram
Reactance ranging method diagram

Figure 6.

Traction power failure inference model
Traction power failure inference model

Figure 7.

Prediction results
Prediction results

Figure 8.

Diagnosis and prediction simulation for insulation fault of reactor front side grounding
Diagnosis and prediction simulation for insulation fault of reactor front side grounding

Error comparison analysis

Sample point Prediction value Real value Relative error (%)
1 2.0678 2.0837 0.76
2 1.0866 1.0907 0.38
3 2.0401 2.0661 1.26
4 1.5654 1.5152 3.31
5 1.2444 1.2174 2.22
6 1.9858 2.0198 1.68
7 2.6681 2.6494 0.71
8 1.1717 1.1586 1.13
9 2.9034 2.8231 2.84
10 1.6201 1.6435 1.42
11 2.7024 2.7277 0.93
12 2.1865 2.2072 0.94
13 2.1349 2.2009 3.00
14 1.2467 1.1942 4.40
15 2.9372 2.9752 1.28

Comparison of experiment results

Method Precision Recall F1 Accuracy
RF 99.52% 96.24% 98.83% 97.08%
Neural network 96.23% 99.96% 98.05% 96.43%
SVM 96.02% 99.96% 97.68% 95.77%
LSTM 96.02% 99.96% 97.68% 95.77%
Ours 99.87% 99.85% 99.76% 99.69%
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